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The U.S. prediction market has recently been described as "a tale of two extremes." On one hand, bipartisan senators have introduced two federal bills aimed at "locking down" contracts for sports, war, and election events; on the other hand, Trump has unprecedentedly endorsed the prediction markets,

Three economists from the Federal Reserve recently published a study indicating that the Kalshi prediction market can serve as a high-frequency, continuously updated macroeconomic indicator, providing valuable references for policymakers. The study claims that Kalshi even outperforms traditional sur
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